Tuesday, January 27, 2009

What you need to know about purchasing real estate in 2009

In the wake of a historic housing bust and a bone-chilling credit squeeze, the American economy is grinding to a halt. The National Bureau of Economic Research reported that the U.S. economy has been mired in a recession since December 2007. And as more bad news-such as mounting job losses-continues to pile up, the chances for a quick turnaround seem increasingly dim. The current downturn is well on its way to becoming the longest in the past six decades. But for would-be home buyers, 2009's economic pain could be a great opportunity to get into the market. After all, home prices at the national level have dropped more than 20 percent from their 2006 peaks, while mortgage Rates have plummeted. Still, buying real estate during an economic recession presents some serious risks. Here are five things to consider before you purchase a home this year:

1. Make sure your financial house is in order: One of the biggest risks of buying a home during a recession is that you could lose your job after closing the deal. With that in mind, anyone who is considering purchasing a home this year should do so only if they have solid job security. In addition, banks have been raising their lending standards in the face of increased delinquencies. That means in order to get the best mortgage rates, most would-be home buyers will need solid credit, a decent down payment, and documented income verification. Mortgage money is available. In order to have access to the financing, however, you are going to have to align yourself more closely with the new, more prudent lending standards. So, if you're uncertain about your job security, or if you can't meet the credit requirements, you should probably hold off on buying a home until the economic outlook improves.

2. Buy a home, not an investment: A lot of people were hurt in the housing bust because they bought houses as short-term investments. With the market expected to decline further this year, 2009 won't be a good time to get back into real-estate flipping. Don't buy a house because it's cheap, buy a house because you want to live in it. Home shoppers should only purchase a home this year if they plan to live in it for at least three to 5 years. The real risk is that prices continue to deflate, so do you want to get in front of that bus. Don't buy a home this year unless you are planning on staying for the very long term.

3. Be conservative: Given the gloomy economic outlook, 2009 isn't a good year to stretch your finances. If you do decide to buy a home, make sure it's a place you can conservatively afford. Rosen says a buyer's monthly housing payment shouldn't exceed 35 percent of their gross monthly household income. And given how low interest rates are these days, buyers should target a 30-year, fixed-rate mortgage, he says. Make sure you can make those payments comfortably. You don't want to have to struggle.

4. Get those concessions: With so many homes on the market, would-be buyers will have a great deal of leverage this year. Don't be shy about using it: low-ball the listing price or ask if the seller will chip in for closing costs. You might even ask about a decorating allowance. Sellers are throwing in lots of extra stuff to put transactions together. The rule of thumb is ask for anything In a market like this, you might be surprised by what sellers will agree to. Just don't go overboard-angering the seller with overly aggressive demands could end up torpedoing the deal.

5. Check out foreclosures: While the foreclosure epidemic has caused tremendous pain for many Americans, it has created some great deals for would-be buyers. It's a once-in-a-generation opportunity for many people. Because such properties can often be found at sharp discounts, anyone looking to buy a home this year would be wise to check out the inventory in their market. But foreclosed home buying can present unique challenges-legal and otherwise-that are often best handled by someone with experience. So, unless you are a veteran real-estate investor, you're probably better off having a professional with experience in the foreclosure market assist you.

Monday, January 26, 2009

Rentals in Phoenix

In Phoenix, where far less of the housing overstock classifies as luxury, the shadow market of newly constructed homes doubling as rentals will have a far greater effect on the traditional rental market.

Marcus & Millichap estimates that rental vacancies will balloon by almost a full percentage point, despite thousands of Phoenix residents moving to the rental market to escape their resetting Alt-A adjustable-rate mortgages.

Rentals in Miami, FLA

Throughout the country, slow sales mean more opportunities for renters as developers and homeowners look to lease their properties while they await hungry buyers. That's happening in southern Florida as condo developers saddled with excess inventory try their hands in the rental market.

Don't expect to see monthly rents slide. Most of Miami's unsold condos qualify as high-end and don't compete with much of the rental stock. Miami's top-flight apartments will see slower rent growth due to the influx, while median-level renters face one of the nation's tightest rental markets.

least expensive rental markets

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America's Least Expensive Cities for Renters

America's Least Expensive Cities for Renters

1. Columbus, Ohio
2. Indianapolis, Ind.
3. Kansas City, Mo.
4. San Antonio, Texas
5. Cincinnati, Ohio

America's Most Expensive Cities for Renters

America's Most Expensive Cities for Renters

1. New York, N.Y.
2. San Francisco, Calif.
3. Boston, Mass.
4. San Jose, Calif.
5. Los Angeles, Calif.

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Rent Drops - New York-Wayne-White Plains, N.Y./N.J.

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Rent drop: -3.7%
Q4 2008 rent change: -3.2%
Q4 2007 rent change: 0.5%
Effective rent: $2,672.20

The New York-Wayne-White Plains metro area is a vast area that includes New York City and the suburbs of northern New Jersey and Westchester County. Rents, along with home prices, had been growing in Manhattan until the financial crisis took hold in mid-September. Since then, rents have dropped as landlords adjust to the new reality. Major layoffs at financial firms and in other sectors have forced tenants to give up expensive apartments and move in with parents or roommates. The unemployment rate climbed to 6% in November 2008 compared to 4.6% in November 2007. The apartment vacancy rate jumped to 4% in the fourth quarter last year from 3.4% in the same period in 2007. Landlords on average are giving rent concessions of 1.1 weeks.